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Tuesday, September 07, 2004

Not 11 - but still a lead

: "But with all that said, it simply is not an 11 point race. It just isn't." - John Zogby

A second poll comes out that questions the earlier polls that suggested Bush has a 11 point lead over Kerry. It is Zogby this time and his poll was pointed to as the closest to the real thing in 1996 and 2000.

At the same time, Zogby still agrees with the earlier polls that Bush has the momentum. IF things in the economy, etc. continue to improve the momentum stays. IF things go ill, Kerry can swing back. Bottom line is that Kerry doesn't seem to be able to influence momentum. Everything revolves around Bush's successes and failures as well as those things Bush can't control: Iraq, economy and terrorism.

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